HOW FLUKY?
19 seasons
10 FINALS ball-by-ball win probability

The moment
everything turned.

Scrub through ten famous IPL finals. Each delivery updates the balance between score, equation, wickets, venue par and pre-match strength.

2019-05-12Rajiv Gandhi International Stadium
MI100.0%
win probability
0.0%CSK
100%50%0%
Ball19.6
Innings2
Score148/7
Equation2 off 0

Descriptive resource-state estimate. The largest one-ball probability swing occurred at ball 19.6.

READ THIS What the line means

A lens, not an oracle.

Resource-state descriptive model using score, balls remaining, wickets in hand, venue/phase par and league-end Elo prior. It is designed to expose turning points consistently, not to recreate a bookmaker’s historical in-play market.