4 pts actual 22 28 pts
IPL / 2008
2008
Actual championRajasthan Royals
Won the replay30.7%
Luck score69.3%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 3 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 22 points were +3.8 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Rajasthan RoyalsRR | 22 | 18.2 | 18 | +4.0 | 2.5 |
| 02 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 20 | 17.8 | 18 | +2.0 | 2.7 |
| 03 | Chennai Super KingsCSK | 16 | 14.3 | 14 | +2.0 | 4.3 |
| 04 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 15 | 14.3 | 15 | 0.0 | 4.4 |
| 05 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 14 | 15.3 | 16 | -2.0 | 3.9 |
| 06 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 13 | 13.4 | 13 | 0.0 | 4.8 |
| 07 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 8 | 10.3 | 10 | -2.0 | 6.3 |
| 08 | Deccan ChargersDEC | 4 | 8.3 | 8 | -4.0 | 7.1 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Punjab Kings posted the highest non-winner chance at 28.2%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
4 pts actual 20 28 pts
2 pts actual 16 26 pts
1 pts actual 15 27 pts
4 pts actual 14 28 pts
1 pts actual 13 25 pts
0 pts actual 8 24 pts
0 pts actual 4 22 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 8 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗