4 pts actual 18 28 pts
IPL / 2019
2019
Actual championMumbai Indians
Won the replay28.1%
Luck score71.9%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 4 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 18 points were +1.3 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 18 | 16.7 | 16 | +2.0 | 3.0 |
| 02 | Chennai Super KingsCSK | 18 | 16.2 | 16 | +2.0 | 3.3 |
| 03 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 18 | 16.0 | 16 | +2.0 | 3.4 |
| 04 | Sunrisers HyderabadSRH | 12 | 13.2 | 14 | -2.0 | 4.9 |
| 05 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 12 | 13.0 | 12 | 0.0 | 5.1 |
| 06 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 12 | 11.5 | 12 | 0.0 | 5.8 |
| 07 | Rajasthan RoyalsRR | 11 | 12.6 | 13 | -2.0 | 5.3 |
| 08 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 11 | 12.8 | 13 | -2.0 | 5.2 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Chennai Super Kings posted the highest non-winner chance at 24.4%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
2 pts actual 18 28 pts
4 pts actual 18 28 pts
2 pts actual 12 26 pts
0 pts actual 12 26 pts
0 pts actual 12 24 pts
1 pts actual 11 25 pts
1 pts actual 11 27 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 8 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗