2 pts actual 18 28 pts
IPL / 2018
2018
Actual championChennai Super Kings
Won the replay20.1%
Luck score79.9%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 5 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 18 points were +2.5 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Sunrisers HyderabadSRH | 18 | 15.8 | 16 | +2.0 | 3.5 |
| 02 | Chennai Super KingsCSK | 18 | 15.5 | 16 | +2.0 | 3.7 |
| 03 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 16 | 15.3 | 16 | 0.0 | 3.8 |
| 04 | Rajasthan RoyalsRR | 14 | 14.6 | 14 | 0.0 | 4.2 |
| 05 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 12 | 13.8 | 14 | -2.0 | 4.6 |
| 06 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 12 | 13.1 | 14 | -2.0 | 5.0 |
| 07 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 12 | 11.1 | 12 | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| 08 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 10 | 12.8 | 12 | -2.0 | 5.2 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Sunrisers Hyderabad posted the highest non-winner chance at 21.4%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
2 pts actual 18 28 pts
2 pts actual 16 28 pts
2 pts actual 14 28 pts
2 pts actual 12 26 pts
0 pts actual 12 26 pts
0 pts actual 12 24 pts
0 pts actual 10 26 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 8 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗