4 pts actual 20 28 pts
IPL / 2017
2017
Actual championMumbai Indians
Won the replay27.9%
Luck score72.1%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 4 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 20 points were +2.8 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 20 | 17.2 | 18 | +2.0 | 2.9 |
| 02 | Rising Pune SupergiantRPS | 18 | 16.6 | 16 | +2.0 | 3.2 |
| 03 | Sunrisers HyderabadSRH | 17 | 16.7 | 17 | 0.0 | 3.1 |
| 04 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 16 | 14.6 | 14 | +2.0 | 4.2 |
| 05 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 14 | 13.7 | 14 | 0.0 | 4.7 |
| 06 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 12 | 12.6 | 12 | 0.0 | 5.3 |
| 07 | Gujarat LionsGL | 8 | 10.2 | 10 | -2.0 | 6.4 |
| 08 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 7 | 10.4 | 11 | -4.0 | 6.3 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Sunrisers Hyderabad posted the highest non-winner chance at 25.2%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
2 pts actual 18 28 pts
3 pts actual 17 27 pts
0 pts actual 16 28 pts
2 pts actual 14 26 pts
0 pts actual 12 24 pts
0 pts actual 8 22 pts
1 pts actual 7 23 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 8 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗