2 pts actual 18 28 pts
IPL / 2016
2016
Actual championSunrisers Hyderabad
Won the replay14.0%
Luck score86.0%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 7 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 16 points were +1.1 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Gujarat LionsGL | 18 | 14.7 | 14 | +4.0 | 4.1 |
| 02 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 16 | 17.1 | 18 | -2.0 | 2.9 |
| 03 | Sunrisers HyderabadSRH | 16 | 14.9 | 14 | +2.0 | 4.0 |
| 04 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 16 | 15.1 | 16 | 0.0 | 3.9 |
| 05 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 14 | 15.0 | 14 | 0.0 | 4.0 |
| 06 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 14 | 13.1 | 14 | 0.0 | 5.0 |
| 07 | Rising Pune SupergiantRPS | 10 | 12.0 | 12 | -2.0 | 5.6 |
| 08 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 8 | 10.2 | 10 | -2.0 | 6.5 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru posted the highest non-winner chance at 30.5%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
2 pts actual 16 28 pts
2 pts actual 16 26 pts
2 pts actual 16 28 pts
0 pts actual 14 28 pts
0 pts actual 14 26 pts
0 pts actual 10 26 pts
0 pts actual 8 24 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 8 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗