2 pts actual 18 28 pts
IPL / 2015
2015
Actual championMumbai Indians
Won the replay25.2%
Luck score74.8%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 4 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 16 points were -0.4 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Chennai Super KingsCSK | 18 | 16.4 | 16 | +2.0 | 3.1 |
| 02 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 16 | 16.4 | 16 | 0.0 | 3.1 |
| 03 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 16 | 15.0 | 16 | 0.0 | 4.2 |
| 04 | Rajasthan RoyalsRR | 16 | 14.6 | 14 | +2.0 | 4.5 |
| 05 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 15 | 15.1 | 15 | 0.0 | 3.9 |
| 06 | Sunrisers HyderabadSRH | 14 | 13.7 | 14 | 0.0 | 4.6 |
| 07 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 11 | 11.3 | 11 | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| 08 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 6 | 9.6 | 10 | -4.0 | 6.6 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Chennai Super Kings posted the highest non-winner chance at 24.7%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
4 pts actual 16 28 pts
4 pts actual 16 26 pts
2 pts actual 16 26 pts
3 pts actual 15 27 pts
2 pts actual 14 28 pts
1 pts actual 11 25 pts
0 pts actual 6 24 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 8 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗