6 pts actual 22 28 pts
IPL / 2014
2014
Actual championKolkata Knight Riders
Won the replay26.5%
Luck score73.5%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 4 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 18 points were +0.5 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 22 | 18.3 | 18 | +4.0 | 2.5 |
| 02 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 18 | 17.5 | 18 | 0.0 | 2.9 |
| 03 | Chennai Super KingsCSK | 18 | 15.8 | 16 | +2.0 | 3.7 |
| 04 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 14 | 15.6 | 16 | -2.0 | 3.8 |
| 05 | Rajasthan RoyalsRR | 14 | 12.8 | 12 | +2.0 | 5.1 |
| 06 | Sunrisers HyderabadSRH | 12 | 13.6 | 14 | -2.0 | 4.8 |
| 07 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 10 | 11.2 | 12 | -2.0 | 5.9 |
| 08 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 4 | 7.3 | 8 | -4.0 | 7.4 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Punjab Kings posted the highest non-winner chance at 34.3%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
4 pts actual 18 28 pts
0 pts actual 18 28 pts
2 pts actual 14 28 pts
0 pts actual 14 26 pts
2 pts actual 12 26 pts
0 pts actual 10 24 pts
0 pts actual 4 20 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 8 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗