4 pts actual 22 32 pts
IPL / 2013
2013
Actual championMumbai Indians
Won the replay29.7%
Luck score70.3%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 3 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 22 points were +1.6 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Chennai Super KingsCSK | 22 | 19.6 | 20 | +2.0 | 3.2 |
| 02 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 22 | 20.4 | 20 | +2.0 | 2.9 |
| 03 | Rajasthan RoyalsRR | 20 | 17.9 | 18 | +2.0 | 4.1 |
| 04 | Sunrisers HyderabadSRH | 20 | 18.1 | 18 | +2.0 | 4.0 |
| 05 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 18 | 17.1 | 18 | 0.0 | 4.5 |
| 06 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 16 | 17.0 | 18 | -2.0 | 4.5 |
| 07 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 12 | 14.3 | 14 | -2.0 | 6.0 |
| 08 | Pune WarriorsPWI | 8 | 10.0 | 10 | -2.0 | 7.8 |
| 09 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 6 | 9.6 | 10 | -4.0 | 8.0 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Chennai Super Kings posted the highest non-winner chance at 22.6%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
6 pts actual 22 32 pts
4 pts actual 20 32 pts
4 pts actual 20 32 pts
4 pts actual 18 30 pts
2 pts actual 16 30 pts
0 pts actual 12 30 pts
0 pts actual 8 24 pts
0 pts actual 6 22 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 9 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗