4 pts actual 22 30 pts
IPL / 2012
2012
Actual championKolkata Knight Riders
Won the replay27.1%
Luck score72.9%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 4 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 21 points were +1.5 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 22 | 18.6 | 18 | +4.0 | 3.6 |
| 02 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 21 | 19.5 | 19 | +2.0 | 3.2 |
| 03 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 20 | 18.3 | 18 | +2.0 | 3.8 |
| 04 | Chennai Super KingsCSK | 17 | 18.3 | 19 | -2.0 | 3.8 |
| 05 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 17 | 17.0 | 17 | 0.0 | 4.5 |
| 06 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 16 | 15.9 | 16 | 0.0 | 5.1 |
| 07 | Rajasthan RoyalsRR | 14 | 14.3 | 14 | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| 08 | Deccan ChargersDEC | 9 | 13.0 | 13 | -4.0 | 6.7 |
| 09 | Pune WarriorsPWI | 8 | 9.0 | 8 | 0.0 | 8.2 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Delhi Capitals posted the highest non-winner chance at 18.5%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
5 pts actual 21 31 pts
6 pts actual 20 32 pts
5 pts actual 17 31 pts
3 pts actual 17 31 pts
0 pts actual 16 28 pts
0 pts actual 14 28 pts
1 pts actual 9 27 pts
0 pts actual 8 24 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 9 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗