2 pts actual 20 28 pts
IPL / 2010
2010
Actual championChennai Super Kings
Won the replay15.6%
Luck score84.4%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 6 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 14 points were -1.3 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 20 | 17.4 | 18 | +2.0 | 2.8 |
| 02 | Deccan ChargersDEC | 16 | 15.8 | 16 | 0.0 | 3.6 |
| 03 | Chennai Super KingsCSK | 14 | 15.3 | 16 | -2.0 | 3.8 |
| 04 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 14 | 13.4 | 14 | 0.0 | 4.8 |
| 05 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 14 | 14.1 | 14 | 0.0 | 4.4 |
| 06 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 14 | 13.5 | 14 | 0.0 | 4.8 |
| 07 | Rajasthan RoyalsRR | 12 | 11.9 | 12 | 0.0 | 5.6 |
| 08 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 8 | 10.7 | 10 | -2.0 | 6.2 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Mumbai Indians posted the highest non-winner chance at 29.5%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
2 pts actual 16 28 pts
2 pts actual 14 26 pts
0 pts actual 14 26 pts
2 pts actual 14 28 pts
2 pts actual 14 26 pts
0 pts actual 12 24 pts
0 pts actual 8 24 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 8 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗