4 pts actual 20 28 pts
IPL / 2022
2022
Actual championGujarat Titans
Won the replay21.0%
Luck score79.0%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 5 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 20 points were +3.5 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Gujarat TitansGT | 20 | 16.5 | 16 | +4.0 | 3.8 |
| 02 | Rajasthan RoyalsRR | 18 | 16.3 | 16 | +2.0 | 3.9 |
| 03 | Lucknow Super GiantsLSG | 18 | 15.3 | 16 | +2.0 | 4.6 |
| 04 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 16 | 15.3 | 16 | 0.0 | 4.6 |
| 05 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 14 | 14.3 | 14 | 0.0 | 5.3 |
| 06 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 14 | 14.5 | 14 | 0.0 | 5.2 |
| 07 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 12 | 13.4 | 14 | -2.0 | 5.9 |
| 08 | Sunrisers HyderabadSRH | 12 | 11.6 | 12 | 0.0 | 7.1 |
| 09 | Chennai Super KingsCSK | 8 | 11.5 | 12 | -4.0 | 7.2 |
| 10 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 8 | 11.2 | 12 | -4.0 | 7.4 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Rajasthan Royals posted the highest non-winner chance at 20.7%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
2 pts actual 18 28 pts
4 pts actual 18 26 pts
2 pts actual 16 28 pts
0 pts actual 14 26 pts
2 pts actual 14 26 pts
2 pts actual 12 28 pts
0 pts actual 12 24 pts
0 pts actual 8 24 pts
0 pts actual 8 28 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 10 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗