4 pts actual 20 26 pts
IPL / 2024
2024
Actual championKolkata Knight Riders
Won the replay28.4%
Luck score71.5%
The champion appeared in roughly one of every 4 simulated title outcomes. Their actual 20 points were +2.6 versus the model expectation.
Hero comparison uses simulated mean points; the table’s Luck column uses the simulated median.01 Expected v actual
Where luck moved the table.
Luck index is actual points minus the simulated median. Positive is above expectation; negative is below.
| Actual | Team | Pts | Expected | Median | Luck | Expected pos. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Kolkata Knight RidersKKR | 20 | 17.4 | 18 | +2.0 | 3.5 |
| 02 | Sunrisers HyderabadSRH | 17 | 14.8 | 15 | +2.0 | 4.9 |
| 03 | Rajasthan RoyalsRR | 17 | 15.1 | 15 | +2.0 | 4.8 |
| 04 | Royal Challengers BengaluruRCB | 14 | 16.0 | 16 | -2.0 | 4.0 |
| 05 | Chennai Super KingsCSK | 14 | 14.5 | 14 | 0.0 | 5.0 |
| 06 | Delhi CapitalsDC | 14 | 14.1 | 14 | 0.0 | 5.3 |
| 07 | Lucknow Super GiantsLSG | 14 | 13.4 | 14 | 0.0 | 5.8 |
| 08 | Gujarat TitansGT | 12 | 13.3 | 14 | -2.0 | 6.5 |
| 09 | Punjab KingsPBKS | 10 | 11.1 | 12 | -2.0 | 7.3 |
| 10 | Mumbai IndiansMI | 8 | 10.3 | 10 | -2.0 | 7.8 |
02 Title odds
The trophy field.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru posted the highest non-winner chance at 18.4%.
03 10,000 seasons
Points, distributed.
Every bar is a count of simulations at that points total. The lime marker is the team’s actual haul.
1 pts actual 17 27 pts
3 pts actual 17 27 pts
0 pts actual 14 28 pts
2 pts actual 14 26 pts
0 pts actual 14 26 pts
2 pts actual 14 24 pts
2 pts actual 12 24 pts
0 pts actual 10 24 pts
0 pts actual 8 22 pts
VALIDATED Published table check
passed.
All 10 teams’ played, won, lost, no-result and points fields reconcile to the published final table.
View reference table ↗